The majority of the sweeping tariffs Donald Trump imposed during his second term face one final litmus test that will determine whether he can continue to levy them – and also whether businesses are eligible for massive refunds.

That potentially dramatic turn in the tariff saga comes after a federal appeals court ruled on Friday that Trump unlawfully leaned on the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) to impose across-the-board duties on countries.

Trump had used those powers to push import tax rates as high as 50% on India and Brazil – and as high as 145% on China earlier this year.

  • WanderWisley@lemmy.world
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    11 hours ago

    Spoiler alert: even if Donny loses this battle he won’t pay anyone anything he never has and never will admit to losing or owning anything to anyone.

    • Tinidril@midwest.social
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      2 hours ago

      It’s not Donny’s money. What will happen is that importers will pass the tariffs onto consumers, as they pretty much have to, then the tariffs will be overturned and the money given back to importers, thus robbing regular people once again and transferring wealth to the capitalists.

    • NateNate60@lemmy.world
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      22 hours ago

      The tariffs will go away, but the companies have realised that you’re okay with paying $10 for something that used to cost $8 anyway so you’ll be paying $10 from now on

      • HasturInYellow@lemmy.world
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        2 hours ago

        I’ll just remind everyone that the people making those ghoulish decisions have home addresses. Just normal homes in normal neighborhoods, most often without any extra security.

        Be a shame if they suddenly realized there were consequences for social murder.

      • tempest@lemmy.ca
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        3 hours ago

        They’ve been shrinkflating the shit out of everything so much.

        I’ve recently noticed a stick of deodorant from Costco seems to be the same (already shrunken over the years) plastic shell with less actual deodorant in it.

      • BarneyPiccolo@lemmy.today
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        21 hours ago

        The only solution is to confiscate all wealth over $100 million, and use it to establish Health Care 4 All, free college/trade, UBI, minimum living wage, public services, etc.

  • JustEnoughDucks@feddit.nl
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    24 hours ago

    People haven’t caught on to the grift yet. One of the people in the committee who runs the tariff decisions literally runs a financial/law institution that since the tariffs started, has been contracting with companies to pay a portions (10, 20, 40%) of the tariffs to “ease the load on the companies” but they retain the rights, in the case of what is going on i.e. tariffs being recalled and paid back, to take 100% of the tariff payback.

    So a government official is steering the tariff policy to essentially steal money from companies with some alight risk of the tariffs not getting overturned. Crazy grift.

  • Phoenixz@lemmy.ca
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    1 day ago

    Eehhh, consumers paid this, not the businesses. This way businesses would essentially get a bonus

    • Treczoks@lemmy.world
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      That’s the point of Republican business support. Remember COVID, where businesses got money to “survive”?

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    1 day ago

    None of us will see any money refunded. Remember that this is all planned out to make products more expensive for americans, so we get used to the higher prices. Then the companies with hundreds of millions in profit can make more profit when costs for them go down, they keep our prices the same and also SHRINK the size of the product.

    Corporations are stealing from Americans every day and politicians are all in on the scam, so no one will do anything about it.

    • oatscoop@midwest.social
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      20 hours ago

      “Look, we lowered prices!” – ignoring that the new “lower” prices are still higher than the pre-tariff prices.

    • Decq@lemmy.world
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      1 day ago

      Wouldn’t surprise if this is part of the scam. Put on tarrifs, hike prices. Let the customer pay and then give companies a rebate with tax money. So the average citizen is charged twice. And of course those price hikes will only go partially down. So the consumer keeps getting screwed.

      • gAlienLifeform@lemmy.world
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        1 day ago

        Soon “See, this is yet another example of why we can’t trust the government to do anything right and why we should defund and shutter all of our public institutions.” - moderate pundit on well respected mainstream news channel

      • bitjunkie@lemmy.world
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        1 day ago

        The average citizen is charged more than twice when you consider that they’re paying a much higher tax rate than the ultra-wealthy.

      • MrMakabar@slrpnk.net
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        1 day ago

        It is. Trump has his own stablecoin. That means he needs to hold massive $ reserves. So high rates due to lots of government debt are good for Trump.

  • SlippiHUD@lemmy.world
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    1 day ago

    How far does this refund go? My distributor paid the tarrifs and then passed that cost onto me, which I passed onto my customers.

    Will my customers, distributors, or myself be refunded? I assume just my distributor since they directly paid the tarrif. And I doubt prices will come down when tarrifs end, so everything is permanently more expensive for no fucking reason, and the top middle man just boosted his profit margin through the roof.

    • moakley@lemmy.world
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      So that would mean that the Trump tariffs were sending American money overseas for no reason. I doubt it’ll actually happen, but holy shit is Trump an incompetent idiot.

      • SlippiHUD@lemmy.world
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        1 day ago

        No, the US company recieving the import pays the tarrif to the US government.

        But yes, Trump is an idiot.

        • moakley@lemmy.world
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          Oh, duh. I’m embarrassed I got it confused. I was thinking that the cost is passed on to the importer, but it’s actually paid by the importer.

          • LifeInMultipleChoice@lemmy.world
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            Yeah they aren’t telling companies you have to pay to send your product here, because there would be no way to collect that, as they aren’t governed by us. (Trolls standing on a bridge comes to mind). Instead every item imported into the country is bought by someone, that someone has to have an itemized list of what they purchased to go through customs and what not to make sure they aren’t crates full of dynamite, or plant seeds that are unauthorized. That inventory and costs are then taxed by the government or held by customs I believe.

            e.g. If Paul sets a tariff on Amazon orders at his house, his wife orders a package off Amazon. USPS or whomever delivers the package, Paul’s security guard, likely Paul himself gets the inventory of the packages that arrive, see it is from Amazon and charges his wife 50% of that cost to take it into the house. Amazon has no part in that process. Buttt what it may do is make Puals wife less likely to order from Amazon, IF it is cheaper to get the product from someone else then. If the product was $50 on Amazon, and $100 at the store, she would still buy it off Amazon as she would still only pay $75 after the tax, instead of $100.

            Paul just made $25 in taxes that he can invest into the house. His wife spent $25 more. Amazon made the same, but may lose future business.

            • moakley@lemmy.world
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              1 day ago

              Right. I was thinking of the suspension of the de minimis exemption. Because that’s an $80 fee that the exporter does have to pay, if I understand it correctly.

              • LifeInMultipleChoice@lemmy.world
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                24 hours ago

                Those are paid by the importer as far as I understand. The di minimus exemption that was passed was essentially supposed to make it so low cost items bought from other countries were exempt from tariffs/taxes. This meant that if you ordered something from Brazil, China, wherever and it was under a certain amount (think it was $800) it would just go through without being hit by the tax. Thus making it cheaper for the end buyer. Trump made an executive order to stop that because that would exempt a lot of people from getting hit by the taxes. Which was put in place with both parties supporting it… So it’s solely a new maga tariff thing in my opinion. Buy a $3 million server rack from elsewhere, pay a fee, buy a new shirt, would be exempt. But Trump didn’t want that, so he claimed it would reduce security and allow drugs into the country or some shit.

                • moakley@lemmy.world
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                  24 hours ago

                  Right. There was an Australian redditor who made his living selling handmade wallets, but he had to shut it down because the price just went up $80 per wallet. Fucking idiotic.

      • paperazzi@lemmy.world
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        1 day ago

        Yes, yes he is and that was abundantly clear from his first term. But at least the female POC didn’t get in, right? Dodged a bullet there.

        /s of course

      • SlippiHUD@lemmy.world
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        I’m a locksmith, I mostly program car keys for customers. Basically every car key is produced overseas.

          • SlippiHUD@lemmy.world
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            3 hours ago

            I’m not sure what you’re talking about. But Honda, Toyota, Mazda, Kia, Hyundai, Nissan, Mitsubishi, Subaru, Volvo, Volkswagon, and Mercedes keys are definitely made overseas.

            And considering the price increases I’m seeing on Fiat (Jeep, Dodge, Chrystler) and Ford keys, I assume they are too. GM prices have risen the least, but they too are more expensive, probably because raw materials are being tarrifed.

  • cronenthal@discuss.tchncs.de
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    So the idiot who managed to ruin every business he ever owned created an absolute clusterfuck running the US, who could’ve known?

    • BussyGyatt@feddit.org
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      Hey now, he only serially ruined businesses in order to enrich himself. Dodging taxes and shit like that makes him a good businessman, actually. Just ask my old boss. He’ll tell you all about trump’s genius business acumen in excruciating detail all day long. Yes, he does own his own business, no it’s not doing well but he’s got a corvette, so he’s pretty sure he’s right.

  • omgboom@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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    2 days ago

    Not only will the consumers never see a dime of any of the money if it’s refunded, the companies aren’t going to lower prices because you’ve already absorbed the price shock.

    • whiwake@lemmy.cafe
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      2 days ago

      Right. Everything today is about softening you up. They say, we will kill you—and you panic—then they roll it back to just losing an arm, and you’re happy about it.

        • givesomefucks@lemmy.world
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          2 days ago

          No, that’s the ratchet effect.

          A frog boil is when you slowly raise the temperature so the frogs don’t even realize they’re being boiled.

          An example of frog boiling is having national guard just roam around not doing anything. People are pissed out of principle, but they’re not really doing anything for people to riot over. By the time they are, some people will be used to it already and not as pissed as if it was all at once.

          • Octavio@lemmy.world
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            3 hours ago

            It’s also kind of funny because while the frog boiling effect certainly exists, the phenomenon it’s named after does not. A frog will absolutely jump out of gradually heated water when it reaches an uncomfortable temperature.

            • givesomefucks@lemmy.world
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              3 hours ago

              Well, yeah…

              That’s like “dollars to doughnuts” became a thing when a dollar bought a dozen doughnuts. Now you can’t buy a single doughnut for a dollar.

              But idioms still remain in the original meaning despite them not making sense.

      • CmdrShepard49@sh.itjust.works
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        2 days ago

        This is called “price anchoring” when used in business. They throw out an outrageously high number to start and then follow it up with something less to make it seem like a good deal when that was really the price they wanted all along.

        • whiwake@lemmy.cafe
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          If they’ve lost an arm and a leg that means they have another arm and a leg to lose! Capitalism! ;)

    • venusaur@lemmy.world
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      2 days ago

      Yeah I feel like this was already expected or part of some master plan. The companies didn’t lose because they passed it on to the consumer and then they’re gonna get money on top of it.

    • PNW clouds@infosec.pub
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      Ianal, I really hope there is some sort of class action that can be done to force companies to pass that back to consumers.

      It should be easy enough to pass through to all the electronic pay methods.

      Or force markup items to all be put on massive sale until an equal amount has been sold to make up the sales at markup.

      There are no perfect solutions, some people will still make out like bandits.

      But jfc, just releasing billions to these companies will only benefit the C-Level and maybe some shareholders, the people already benefiting, not the ones feeling the pain.

      • ragebutt@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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        A class action just passes the money from one elite class (corporations) to another (class action lawyers). Consumers will get a virtual prepaid debit card for $1.97 in 5 years that can’t be spent anywhere because it can’t be used online and it costs $5 to have them mail you a physical card

        Should get out guillotines

        • Lucky_777@lemmy.world
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          100% this. Most I’ve ever seen out of a class action is somehwere between $5-$300. That’s after you produce a mountain of receipts and paperwork. Only lawyers get rich.

          • sexybenfranklin@ttrpg.network
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            You could always hire a lawyer of your own and sue the company directly. That’s what someone did to have it become a class action lawsuit. The person who brought the original suit gets a big payout, and the people who did not generally get a much smaller piece of the pie.

    • givesomefucks@lemmy.world
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      It also gives trump an out from “tarrif checks” he was talking about.

      Likely the reason they started talking about those, is anticipation that they may be overturned. Now his supporters will be mad the “deep state” took “their checks” that they were never gonna get.

  • Dr. Moose@lemmy.world
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    how would refund like this even work? Many businesses closed shop entirely due to these tarrifs, could they sue the government too? This would be crazy and this massive overhead risk could block the entire thing.

    • bigfondue@lemmy.world
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      This is why huge policy changes are discussed and planned for years. One guy being able say “Tariffs starting on Monday!” is fucking idiotic.

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        Yuuuuuup! One of the key parts of planning policies is evaluating its strength in court. SCOTUS gave the executive branch a free pass to just try anything with zero consequences. Why bother asking if something is legal when it literally doesn’t matter if it isn’t.

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      Most likely the only ones getting refunds are those joined to the law suit that got the tariffs removed. Everyone else is SOL.

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    Surely the price hikes will reverse at that point and won’t just remain higher indefinitely causing another price/price inflationary spiral.

    • amzd@lemmy.world
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      The companies importing products sold their debt to massive debt collecting firms who will receive the rebate so no.

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      Wouldn’t bring back the small businesses that have already been killed anyway. My favorite coffee shop just closed, and my independent artisan friends are barely selling anything any more.